{
  "schemaVersion": 2,
  "date": "2026.08.27",
  "publishedAt": "2026-08-27T14:54:18-07:00",
  "timeZone": "America/Los_Angeles",
  "title": "Phase 3A stops at missing source claims before reproduction",
  "publicationStatus": "Source quality insufficient; the fixed sixteen-lineage reservoir contains no operationalizable retained claim",
  "executiveSummary": [
    "Accepted Phase 3 as not demonstrated and qualified only the evidence-acquisition boundary upstream of candidate construction. Promotion, activation, probation, rollback, thresholds, and meta-improvement were outside scope and unchanged.",
    "Traced the same sixteen ordinary, non-meta Phase 3 lineages from selection through corroboration. Their retained records contained source identifiers, URLs, content hashes, controlled-vocabulary mechanism labels, and code-owned experiment suggestions, but none retained the external source's actual claim.",
    "The prior corroboration implementation did not build claim-specific experiments. It reran fixed mechanism-level regression files and correctly treated healthy generic controls as absent evidence.",
    "Five records had been called structurally complete under the legacy schema because they carried a claim ID, source hash, expected direction, protocol label, and keyword tuple. Phase 3A established that those fields still do not state a falsifiable source claim.",
    "Added an explicit evidence-acquisition qualification layer, a preregistered evidence-package contract, append-only per-lineage assessments, and granular funnel milestones without creating a second state authority.",
    "All sixteen lineages classified as CLAIM_EXTRACTION_INCOMPLETE. Zero were testable, zero hypotheses or reproduction packages were ready, and zero reproductions were executed. All sixteen Phase 3A corroboration decisions were DEFER.",
    "The exact completion disposition is Source quality insufficient. The retained discovery reservoir does not contain enough operationalizable claims to establish whether autonomous reproduction construction works. Phase 3A is not demonstrated."
  ],
  "workstreams": [
    {
      "title": "Pre-change evidence path",
      "status": "Traced",
      "details": [
        "External discovery reduced untrusted text to prompt-safe metadata and controlled-vocabulary labels. Raw source text was intentionally not persisted or sent to the model.",
        "Selection moved a queue record into investigating. External corroboration then chose fixed regression files based on the broad mechanism, such as routing or memory, rather than constructing a source-claim-specific experiment.",
        "The corroboration gate expected a baseline assertion failure plus a healthy negative control. Because the broad suites passed, evidence was classified absent and the candidate deferred.",
        "BUILT in the existing funnel means construction and testing of the proposed Hiro modification. It does not mean construction of a reproduction experiment.",
        "No component between selection and corroboration was responsible for extracting an exact source claim, preregistering a hypothesis, building an isolated experiment, or executing that experiment."
      ]
    },
    {
      "title": "Fixed sixteen-lineage audit",
      "status": "Completed",
      "details": [
        "The qualification used an immutable manifest containing exactly the sixteen Phase 3 lineages. It did not fetch easier replacement ideas, seed candidates, select a preferred idea, or authorize implementation.",
        "Eleven queue records failed even the legacy structural-claim check. Five passed that legacy check but contained only keyword tuples and generalized metric directions, not an exact source claim.",
        "All available historical source packets were indexed by their retained source-reference identifiers. The audit recovered metadata for most references but confirmed that exact external claims were deliberately absent from every retained projection.",
        "Because the source content itself was not retained, the qualification cannot honestly distinguish a source that had no testable claim from a source whose claim extractor discarded the needed semantics. It therefore uses CLAIM_EXTRACTION_INCOMPLETE rather than claiming the original source was false or useless."
      ]
    },
    {
      "title": "Evidence-package contract",
      "status": "Implemented",
      "details": [
        "A valid package requires a source claim, exact hypothesis, expected observable, baseline or control, experimental treatment, measurement, acceptance criterion, reproduction specification, source provenance, and preregistration timestamp.",
        "Execution results, raw artifact references, and interpretation are result fields and cannot be present in the preregistered package.",
        "The preregistered portion receives a deterministic hash so an acceptance criterion cannot be silently changed after the result is known.",
        "Negative results remain valid evidence when the experiment infrastructure is valid. Infrastructure failures remain inconclusive rather than evidence against a claim."
      ]
    },
    {
      "title": "Authoritative funnel extension",
      "status": "Implemented",
      "details": [
        "The continuous queue and append-only event ledger remain the only lifecycle authority. The Phase 3A report is a projection, not a second workflow database.",
        "New observable milestones are TESTABLE_CLAIM, HYPOTHESIS_READY, REPRODUCTION_READY, REPRODUCTION_EXECUTED, REPRODUCTION_VALID, CORROBORATION_PASS, CORROBORATION_FAIL, CORROBORATION_DEFER, and CANDIDATE_BUILT.",
        "Each fixed lineage received one idempotent evidence_acquisition_assessed event containing its granular reason and stage flags. Rerunning the qualification does not duplicate those events.",
        "Future discovery records now explicitly declare claim extraction incomplete rather than presenting a keyword tuple as a fully extracted source claim."
      ]
    },
    {
      "title": "Phase 3A empirical result",
      "status": "Source quality insufficient",
      "details": [
        "Sixteen lineages assessed; zero testable claims; zero hypotheses ready; zero reproductions ready; zero reproductions executed; zero valid reproductions.",
        "Corroboration decisions were zero PASS, zero FAIL, and sixteen DEFER. The normalized evidence-acquisition reason was CLAIM_EXTRACTION_INCOMPLETE for all sixteen.",
        "No local experiment was fabricated from a generic topic label. No candidate was built and no promotion or meta-improvement was attempted.",
        "The first unresolved boundary is claim extraction, before hypothesis operationalization and reproduction construction."
      ]
    }
  ],
  "decisions": [
    "Keep the corroboration truth table unchanged and do not count generic regression health as support or contradiction.",
    "Use the same sixteen Phase 3 lineages as a controlled dataset and do not search for easier replacements.",
    "Treat the legacy keyword-and-hash schema as insufficient for a falsifiable source claim, even when all legacy fields are populated.",
    "Stop at the first unresolved boundary. Do not implement or claim a reproduction executor when no retained lineage can supply its required source claim.",
    "Preserve prompt-injection isolation: no raw external text is published, promoted to instruction, or used as an authority source.",
    "Do not proceed to autonomous implementation, promotion, or recursive/meta-improvement."
  ],
  "validation": [
    {
      "check": "Focused evidence-acquisition and corroboration tests",
      "status": "passed",
      "result": "Eleven focused tests passed after the initial implementation; the complete relevant three-file group then passed ninety-two tests."
    },
    {
      "check": "Full repository regression suite",
      "status": "passed",
      "result": "801 tests passed in 434.56 seconds. Six non-failing warnings concerned pre-existing unregistered test marks and an inaccessible pytest cache directory."
    },
    {
      "check": "Fixed-reservoir qualification",
      "status": "completed",
      "result": "16 assessed, 0 testable, 0 hypothesis-ready, 0 reproduction-ready, 0 executed, 0 valid, 0 corroboration passes, 0 corroboration failures, and 16 corroboration defers."
    },
    {
      "check": "Append-only evidence integrity",
      "status": "passed",
      "result": "Exactly sixteen Phase 3A assessment events were recorded, one per frozen lineage. The assessment operation is idempotent."
    },
    {
      "check": "Active runtime identity",
      "status": "passed",
      "result": "Hiro restarted healthy with its model connected and loaded revision equal to checkout revision ef510823ff7c72dc3e1d970e42bb12d478207694."
    },
    {
      "check": "Public journal tests and build",
      "status": "passed",
      "result": "npm run test:hiro passed. npm run build generated and validated 170 journal pages, compiled TypeScript, and completed the Vite production bundle."
    }
  ],
  "currentState": [
    "Hiro is healthy and revision-matched on ef510823ff7c72dc3e1d970e42bb12d478207694.",
    "The known-good promotion actuator was not modified or re-reviewed.",
    "The fixed sixteen-lineage Phase 3A report is complete and its assessments are present in the canonical append-only event ledger.",
    "The evidence funnel now distinguishes claim extraction, hypothesis readiness, reproduction readiness, execution validity, and corroboration decisions.",
    "Phase 3A is not demonstrated because no retained lineage reaches TESTABLE_CLAIM."
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "The original external source text was intentionally not retained, so this session cannot determine whether the original pages contained useful claims that the reducer discarded.",
    "No reproduction experiment was executed. This result does not establish whether a future reproduction builder or executor would succeed once a valid claim reaches it.",
    "The evidence-package contract and funnel semantics are implemented and tested, but a downstream autonomous experiment-construction implementation remains unqualified because the fixed dataset never reached that boundary.",
    "No candidate construction, evaluation, governor decision, activation, promotion, rollback, or meta-improvement occurred in Phase 3A."
  ],
  "nextSteps": [
    "Improve future discovery so it can retain a prompt-safe, provenance-bound, falsifiable claim representation rather than only hashes and keyword categories.",
    "Use new source records to qualify claim extraction first. Only then implement and test hypothesis operationalization and isolated reproduction construction at the next observed boundary.",
    "Require at least five valid executed reproductions, including preserved negative results, before calling Phase 3A demonstrated.",
    "Keep autonomous implementation and meta-improvement disabled until Phase 3A evidence acquisition is empirically demonstrated."
  ],
  "disclosureNote": "This public entry contains no credentials, private external text, private interaction content, local filesystem locations, private network addresses, or actionable unresolved security details."
}
